Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.520681 4.106283 4.726456 5.428970 6.199472 7.015766 7.942867
2025-01-05 2.718633 3.535982 4.462585 5.577089 6.867622 8.302085 10.004015
2025-01-12 2.119691 3.061471 4.198879 5.640923 7.388201 9.406389 11.882839
2025-01-19 1.627542 2.614231 3.882195 5.570554 7.700654 10.243550 13.452561
2025-01-26 1.326158 2.350765 3.742909 5.676047 8.197498 11.287921 15.273925
2025-02-02 1.090881 2.130954 3.621371 5.771945 8.660832 12.282931 17.041589
2025-02-09 0.842391 1.840769 3.359023 5.641474 8.802361 12.857407 18.283025
2025-02-16 0.647276 1.592670 3.120207 5.510288 8.916788 13.380244 19.451809
2025-02-23 0.520742 1.433483 2.991994 5.517121 9.204859 14.122250 20.902155
2025-03-02 0.400720 1.256047 2.809097 5.420814 9.332660 14.642737 22.063810
2025-03-09 0.350131 1.206679 2.830749 5.631786 9.898073 15.756995 24.016795
2025-03-16 0.281220 1.098330 2.735356 5.647858 10.174307 16.476873 25.453589
2025-03-23 0.251852 1.078512 2.800777 5.931168 10.862921 17.793227 27.730983
2025-03-30 0.219790 1.043269 2.833180 6.160682 11.477483 19.019655 29.909514
2025-04-06 0.180234 0.974457 2.792162 6.262440 11.898843 19.981250 31.742827
2025-04-13 0.134947 0.868895 2.662982 6.202067 12.064532 20.579630 33.085461
2025-04-20 0.110259 0.818531 2.640263 6.322588 12.510679 21.582261 34.993344
2025-04-27 0.088938 0.769215 2.612358 6.429036 12.933331 22.553792 36.866123
2025-05-04 0.060404 0.669754 2.456668 6.290048 12.955233 22.938783 37.923097
2025-05-11 0.039137 0.580376 2.307698 6.149385 12.963844 23.298087 38.942523
2025-05-18 0.027432 0.528042 2.240097 6.157050 13.212295 24.012386 40.467764
2025-05-25 0.016519 0.460872 2.121026 6.053380 13.267974 24.435467 41.580285
2025-06-01 0.013654 0.454608 2.166452 6.280793 13.886919 25.714173 43.928058